The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Something went wrong, please try again later. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. Trump. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. We will not share your email address with any third parties. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. Polling changes expose a chink in the Conservatives' electoral armour Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. 4th October 2022| President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Boris Johnson may have misled Parliament over Partygate, investigating MPs have claimed, Matt Hancocks reaction to his affair with Gina Coladangelo has been revealed in leaked WhatsApp messages, Numerous Russian attacks in eastern Donetsk have been repelled in the past day, Ukraines military has said, The White House has confirmed that Joe Biden had a cancerous skin lesion removed last month, At least 17 people have died in a fire at a fuel depot in Indonesia, Saving Private Ryan actor Tom Sizemore has died aged 61 after a brain aneurysm, Labour were just two points behind the SNP in Scotland before Nicola Sturgeon's shock, Support for Scottish independence at 46% before Nicola Sturgeon resigned poll. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . In all polls the dont knows are removed. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;rUK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. But we can't do it without you. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Easy-to-digest video clips. All Rights Reserved. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Another. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Britain Elects. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Please try different keywords. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead.
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