76. His breaking ball has inconsistent length and he has a relief-only mechanical look, but hes throwing quite hard. As for the top three prospects on all six lists, their average rankings: Termarr Johnson - 28.2 Endy Rodriguez - 38.5 Henry Davis - 52 John Dreker + posts John started working at Pirates. But theres big arm speed here and big riding life to Shims fastball. The reason why he graded out so positively was due to his arm, gunning down runners like crazy, which was fantastic, and his tool grade for his armwas a 40. Pittsburgh to add him to their 40-man roster after the season, indicating that hell be a big league relief option in 2023. Escotto, 20, was a 40+ FV prospect after his huge DSL season and later became part of the Jameson Taillon trade, but he struggled very badly in 2022 and needed to be demoted back to Low-A. The powerfully built Kelly, 19, is a squat but loose righty who sits 93-95 mph and throws quality strikes with his fastball. Acquired in a. He threw it 16% of the time (up from 9% the previous season) and induced a 53% whiff rate with this power-action, mid-80s change. Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Mitch Keller, Travis Swaggerty, Tahnaj Thomas and. Nolasco had two years of surface-level statistical success in rookie ball and the huge exit velos to match, but now after three pro seasons, his strikeout rates show a troubling upward trend. His acrobatics and creativity at third base make him a plus defender there. Their top ten, in. Pathways toward a more impactful role are most likely to be carved by Harringtons command outperforming this projection. A much deeper overview can be found here. 1/ . In 2022, it garnered just 8% whiffs and 13% chase during his time at Double-A, where he spent most of the season. But he was then shut down and had TJ, which ended his season early enough that he could be back in 2023. A second base-only defensive fit puts the onus on Pegueros bat to perform at an everyday level. Like his other stuff, his feel for location is better than the movement hes creating on the pitch. Even with that in mind, any team would be happy to sign a teenager with this kind of stuff for just $750,000 of their bonus pool. Its not a great look to lose half a minor league rosters worth of players in the Rule 5, but that whole group might produce one or two big league role players, which is a small price to pay if theyre byprospects of a bigger group from which the Pirates can pick and choose before exposing the rest to that arcane process. document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", function () { Oliver Mateo, RHP Quick backfield looks at him have his tools in more of an extra outfielder bucket for now. Injured Arms Hes a good enough defender that hed probably being playing shortstop had he ended up at Arizona State, but in pro ball the keystone is Johnsons likeliest defensive home given his maxed-out, stocky build and what projects to be somewhat limited range. M.J. Melendezs 2019 and Bo Naylors 2020 are recent examples of otherwise good-hitting catchers who had a terrible offensive season in the mid-minors that was followed by an immediate and significant rebound the following year. His quality of contact is very good when he does make it, and is already on par with the typical starting major league second baseman even though hes barely 22. Obviously the 2021 draft was the big one, and seven players from that class are currently on the list. His range and footwork are great, while his actions and arm are fine. FanGraphs Prospects. Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. He appears tentative on routine throws and still isnt a sure-handed defender. He went 2-for-4 with two singles, two runs and an RBI on Friday night against Kansas State. Webbs velocity began to climb in 2019, when he went from sitting 89-92 mph to sitting 90-94 and touching 96. DSL data is noisy, in part because pitchers there dont yet throw enough strikes or with much velocity compared to more advanced levels of the minors. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 24, 2021 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Given their respective shapes, its easy to see how those pitches play off of one another, and they were the reason Burrows presented a traditional relief look prior to his changeups development. With Endy Rodriguez around, it may not matter a ton. Hayden Wesneski is a 25-year-old starting pitcher in the Chicago Cubs system. It could stand to have more consistent depth, but the flashes are there, and remember that Kennedy is barely 18. On defense, Rodriguezs size is both a feature and a bug. Plaz had a cartoonish line in the DSL (he slugged over .700), but hes very burly and physically mature for a 17-year-old, so wed like to see him do it stateside. The barrel-chested Smith-Njigba has huge strength-driven power and a patient approach that borders on passive. Uribe, 20, is a projectable lefty with a 92-93 mph fastball and high-spin breaking ball. Atlanta Braves Stats | FanGraphs Baseball The type of contact he makes is unlikely to ever lead to home run power commensurate with a true everyday player, but Bae makes enough stinging, all-fields contact that he projects to hit plenty of doubles and triples. Now 24 and neither protected from nor claimed during the 2022 Rule 5 draft, its imperative for him to start throwing strikes more consistently in order to find his way to a big league bullpen. Bolton was able to stay healthy for the entirety of 2022, which was an accomplishment in itself given that his professional career has been plagued by injury since it began. 4/5 on a contender. Scouting. Out over the plate, he has a tendency to stay inside fastballs and lift them toward the opposite field gap. On Friday, FanGraphs released updated rankings. DeVito brandishes a five-pitch arsenal headlined by a filthy splitter, but he struggled to locate any of his pitches well enough for them to really complement each other. Terrero is a compact outfielder with a well-rounded skill set and strong rookie-level line. Fourth-round high school pitcher Owen Kellington was a participant in the 2021 Draft League and Combine, and looked like an interesting, slow-burning developmental prospect prior to a hamstring injury than ended his 2022 season. A two-way high school player, Jones was clearly a superior prospect as a pitcher, as he was one of the most electric on-mound athletes to roll through the high school ranks over the last decade. A two-way high school prospect, Flowers was primarily a center fielder at Florida State but transitioned to the mound full-time in pro ball. Pre-draft rumors pegged Kennedy as a tough sign given a strong commitment to LSU. There were some signs of offensive progress in 2022. Averaging Out the Top Prospect Rankings - Pirates Prospects His Adonis-like physique helps him generate plus pull-side power, and he will show it to you without overswinging he simply lacks bat control and breaking ball recognition. While hes played a bunch of shortstop, he is much more likely to wind up on the edge of 3B/1B than he is to see middle infield time at maturity. Hes been able to maintain nearly average contact rates despite a pull-heavy approach to contact. Scouting reports were. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. While it may seem like a lot of time has passed since he put his name on the prospect map with his otherworldly 2018 DSL performance, Nunez is still very young; hell turn 22 during spring training, where hes a non-roster invitee. 2023 Opening Day Tracker. How impactful a starter may depend on how his changeup, currently a tertiary offering, develops at the big league level. Clubs like the Pirates arent making buyers trades, so they have little to no incentive to move a potentially great young player, which in turn means teams have little incentive to scout said player. Thats the situation were projecting here. Maikol Escotto, 2B Sanchez runs pretty well. The top 38 spots on the list are all 55 FV or higher. Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. Barring a velo bump or another significant alteration to some of the more concerning elements of his profile, he looks like a single-inning up/down reliever. Pro teams are more open to east/west fastball operation and the Pirates might be able to coax more sweep out of Harringtons slider, though Campbell does a pretty good job developing pitchers, so there may be less developmental meat on the bone here than youd guess considering hes coming from a smaller program. Pirates Top Prospects | MLB.com He pairs it with two above-average secondaries: a high-80s slider with sharp, downward movement that garnered a 48% chase rate against righties, and an 11-5 curveball with a shape that mimics the slider, only slower and looser, which helps keep batters off balance and enables him to pitch backwards. Johnsons swing bears some mechanical resemblance to Bryce Harpers, especially its lower half usage and finish. Chandler started the 2022 season on the complex, where he showed two-way promise, slashing .231/.444/.654 over 36 plate appearances while annihilating opposing batters, issuing 27 strikeouts and giving up just three hits without allowing a run over 15.1 innings. For now, hes lithe enough for third, where he has a shot to be an everyday player based largely on his power projection. Gonzales had a 68% Z-contact% as a 23-year-old at Double-A. Either way, he played over half the season in the outfield and was roughly average, which is much better than I would have expected after the reporting on him previously called him a positionless defender. Nick Gonzales - Stats - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball While likely of low impact, Solometos feel to pitch will almost certainly enable him to be a big leaguer of some kind, either a backend starter or long reliever. As FanGraphs sourced TrackMan/Hawkeye data from team personnel after the season, De Los Santos hard hit rate and peak exit velocities stood apart from most of his peers, especially when limiting the sample to the DSLs age-appropriate players. Stratton, 26, sat 94-96 mph in 2022 and has a plus-flashing slider that he rarely throws for strikes. Diego Cartaya (37) - Catcher Cartaya is listed a little higher in The. His low, short-armed slot is like a righty version of Reiver Sanmartins delivery. The Pirates snagged him in Decembers Rule 5 draft, making him only the second lefty reliever on their 40-man, so hell likely be called upon for consistent use out of the big league pen in 2023. This is one of those prospects fantasy players should value more highly than this because of his potential home run output, whereas defensive limitations cause us to value his real-world roster fit in this range. His 2022 performance deserves some age-related adjustment, but its possible we saw flaws in Pegueros game exposed by upper-level pitching. Podcasts: . Grant Hartwig is one of the most promising under-the-radar prospects in the New York Mets system. After the season, he again played winter ball, this time in Puerto Rico with Carolina, where Cheng struggled. Signed as an undrafted free agent in 2021, the 25-year-old right-hander has a degree in microbiology and premedical studies from Oxford, Ohio's Miami University, and he has worked as a . He pitched five innings of relief over two games in early May for the Pirates without allowing a run. Castillo is a loose rotator without a lot of bat speed, but he seems to find a way to put the bat on the ball and the power might come if he gets stronger. Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. Triolos swing and footwork in the box make him vulnerable in a couple of obvious ways (high heat, sliders away), and we dont think the 60-grade hit, 45-grade power profile that he has put on paper so far will hold quite that much water against big league arms. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Hes on track to debut in 2025 as a starter if those issues improve and as a reliever if they do not. He showed a velo spike (92-96) at the onset of the 2022 college season before his arm strength and command regressed. He has a delivery similar to Ubaldo Jimnezs, where his front side flies way open and he tilts out, which helps Kellington get to a vertical arm slot. If he moves to first base, this will become especially scary. While he was already throwing quite hard, Ortiz came into even more velocity in 2022 and averaged 97 mph on his fastball, up two ticks from 2021. Anthony began writing over 10 years ago, starting a personal blog to cover the 2011 MLB draft, where the Pirates selected first overall. Cy Nielson, LHP His slider lacks nasty, biting movement, but his arm slot makes it tough on lefty hitters, and his command of it gives it back-foot utility against righties. He and Solometo have the same flavor of stuff wrapped in different packages. Across the 2022 calendar, Davis had nearly as many HBPs as he did extra-base hits, to which the wrist fracture likely contributed. His range, footwork, ability to bend, and overall athleticism are all plus, and it made sense to try to develop him as a shortstop for as long as possible, but Peguero finally saw time at second base in 2022 and a permanent move there will hopefully help him throw more confidently and accurately. He has the talent to be an everyday player, but has to improve in one or two key areas (throwing accuracy, slider recognition) for that to be his outcome. Its now fair to expect that the current version of Nicolas will be capable of holding down a spot toward the back of Pittsburghs rotation by the middle of 2024. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. His low-80s slider, which has late, two-plane bite, has improved considerably and is now an above-average big league pitch. As a right-handed hitter almost all of Endys damage is done on outer-third pitches that he can get fully extended against. He seems able to make some mid at-bat adjustments to this type of pitch but then ends up playing a guessing game with breaking balls. He can already land his breaker in the zone and its angle should help it become a viable back-foot offering to righties. Lopez swings exceptionally hard and makes some mechanical compromises to do so, but not in a way that has impacted his performance yet. Here's a link to the Top 25.. Link to the Top 50.. Link to the Top 75.. Be warned that he may hit for huge power at Greensboro in 2023, but the key thing to watch is his strikeout rate. Jimenez has a very good sweeping, upper-70s curveball and creates plus action on a changeup that he sells with fantastic arm speed. Pittsburgh Pirates: FanGraphs Add 2021 Draft Picks to Prospect Board Oneil Cruz, SS Video Signed: July 2nd. 2018 Brewers batting, pitching, and fielding traditional and advanced stats. Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports. His swing is already geared for lift, but he doesnt currently have the raw juice to make the most of it. After spending most of the year at Triple-A, where he hit .289/.362/.430, Bae spent the last couple weeks of the 2022 season as an everyday member of the big league club, where he seems likely to stick throughout the coming season as a lefty-hitting 2B/OF. This was a four-year rookie-level player who had suddenly been added to the Royals 40-man roster after the 2021 season even though he had all of 32 innings above Low-A. He has a short arm action, which aids in his command, though refining his location will likely be the order of the day upon his return from injury as he continues to work out of the Pirates pen. by Handedness, 25th on the Pirates list at the end of 2022, Effectively Wild Episode 1966: Joe West, Young Man, Ben Cherington on Pittsburghs Two Top Prospects. If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. Sergio Campana, CF When we last saw Swaggerty for a full season of play, he was a 21-year-old whose nine home runs in 120 games was far lower than youd expect from someone with so much raw power playing in a hitter-friendly park. Defensively, Nunez has transitioned from full-time third baseman to mostly first base, with a handful of innings in the other corner of the infield still mixed in. Theres still some prospect clout here because of Nolascos power and long-haul physicality, but at this stage, he should be considered more of power-driven flier than a likely big leaguer. RotoWire News: Gonzales will join the Pirates' major-league camp this spring. Its unlikely hell make enough of an offensive impact to be a primary catcher, but hes very likely to spend time on big league 40-man rosters as a second or third catcher. His two-plane slider has nasty, late break and his changeup might have late projection because his arm action is so clean and loose. His command and changeup are both still works in progress, but his 2022 fastball strike% (68%) is an encouraging sign, and again, Jones has a special level of athleticism that should enable him to hone both over time. His curveball was his only secondary to induce an above-average chase rate. Traded from Arizona to Pittsburgh as part of the Starling Marte deal, Peguero had been a top 100 prospect for the last couple of years, tracking like a plus bat middle infielder. Perhaps as an adjustment to deal with this issue, Priester now mixes in plenty of fastballs for which he pronates on release, giving the pitch screwball-like spin. Mets Prospect Grant Hartwig Has an Unusual Background and an East-West He showed a tendency to expand the zone and make some sub-optimal contact as an amateur and in his 2022 pro sample, but there are times when Johnson does this and rather than frustrate scouts and analysts, he impresses them with his ability to identify and adjust to breaking balls, his barrel feel, and his hand-eye coordination.
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