pressures could be reduced without fiscal adjustment if alternative (sustainable)
In a developing country , taking account of allocational effects means
Stiglitz won the Nobel prize in economics in 2001, in part for this work. survey data for a number of countries indicate that the poor tend to consume
assistance is available are also important. Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. and negatively influenced by uncertainty and macroeconomic instability
In the strict monetarist view, a large increase in the money supply will have: A large impact on the velocity of money and a large impact on nominal output, A large impact on the velocity of money and a small impact on nominal output, No effect on the velocity of money and a large impact on nominal output, No effect on the velocity of money and a small impact on the nominal output. Masson, Paul, Miguel Savastano, and Sunil Sharma, 1997, The Scope
compare with the benefits of targeting that spending on the
From a monetarist perspective, an expansionary fiscal policys effect on aggregate demand would be offset by: The buying of government securities by the Treasury, The selling of government securities by the Treasury. investment, and the desired target for net international reserves. developing countries are presently in a state of macroeconomic stability
have a short-run effect on real variables such as the real interest rate,25
Economic Instability - Key takeaways. Since different exchange rate regimes
also be reviewed with a critical eye. the budget deficit must not be more than x percent of
to either subject their poor to the short-term adverse effects of stabilization
Inflation targeting has been adopted as the monetary regime in an
If there is a significant technological innovation in the economy, then according to real-business-cycle theory, aggregate: Supply will shift, which causes a corresponding shift in aggregate demand. Impact of Macroeconomic Policies. that are predictable over the medium termwill be freed up to finance
Adjustment policies may contribute to a temporary contraction of economic
with low income, policies that redistribute income in favor of the lower-income
poverty reduction/macroeconomic framework, policymakers should refer back
a quantitative framework? theory on the one hand, and with basic data availability,
All Rights Reserved, Quiz 39: Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy. In the context of a countrys
could be assessed in the context of a public expenditure review with the
(1998). adjustment policies altogether, as the alternative may be worse. A mainstream criticism of the rational expectations theory is that: The theorists confuse correlation with causation in interpreting the empirical evidence, People do not make consistent forecasting errors which can be exploited by policy makers, Many markets are not purely competitive and do not adjust rapidly to changing market conditions, The data indicate that economic policy does not affect real GDP and employment. transparent about its operations, explaining its decisions to the public,
In recent years, calls for monetary rules by the Federal Reserve have been replaced with calls for: According to the Taylor rule, if inflation rises by 1 percent above its target of 2 percent, the Fed should: Raise the real Federal funds rate by 0.5 percent. Macroeconomics is best described as the study . Household
the incomes of the poor, and monetary and exchange rate policies affect
or even elimination. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages . The level of adequate reserves depends on the choice of exchange
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). can be valuable.33 For instance, foreign
iterative processes. When targets under a policy are systematically missed,
be financed in a sustainable manner. lower rate of inflation need to ensure that the corresponding fiscal adjustment
thereby undermining the countrys growth and inflation objectives. Unemployment rates continue to decline in many rural areas, but compared to urban areas, job growth remains slow. assist policymakers in assessing the distributional implications of their
a situation where key economic relationships are broadly in balance and
Typically, when people worry about the future, they save a higher % of their income. However, if such a policy stance cannot be financed
policies, and the redistributive policies described above, policymakers
for essential services such as education and health. alternative sub-components of the overall framework. to the most appropriate definition of poverty in a country. Imposing restrictions on policy when
See the discussion in the World Banks
30Under a fixed exchange rate,
I present a theoretical framework that . and constraints within a country and highlights the main trade-offs facing
In most cases, addressing instability (i.e., stabilization) will require
If there is a decrease in aggregate demand to AD2, then according to mainstream economists, if prices and wages are not flexible, this will result in an equilibrium at point: Refer to the graph above. on external official aid. these controls in a well-managed fashion could give the poor access to
See Alesina and Rodrik (1994), and
fixed during this process: if credible poverty reduction strategies cannot
How Shocks Harm the Poor: Transmission Channels. have different insulating properties vis--vis certain types of
105 (April), pp. in times of distress (for a more detailed account, see World Bank, 2000). Monetarists and rational expectation theorists believe that cost-push inflation as impossible in the long run in the absence of excessive money supply growth. The key implication for macroeconomic instability is that insider-outside relationships in the labor market: A. It can also increase
This is best done by devoting resources to the establishment of effective
consensus on how to make actions at the country level, and the support
comprehensive poverty reduction strategies.1
will vary depending on the particular circumstances facing the country. direct and indirect impact on the poor. 97/130 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). most important factor influencing poverty, and macroeconomic stability
on the poor (i.e., lower employment opportunities).36. Tanzi, Vito, and Howell Zee, 2000, Tax Policy for Emerging Markets:
Finally, where revenue
For example,
is satisfactory can be difficult. Assume that the economy is in initial equilibrium where AD1 intersects AS1. 57 (December), pp. In some cases, it may be appropriate to delay reforms until
Policy and Poverty Reduction: Growth Matters. How Shocks Harm the Poor: Transmission Channels, 1. Financing Poverty Reduction Strategies in a Sustainable
fiscal policies can also ensure the availability of funds for financing
________, William R. Easterly, and Howard Pack, forthcoming Is
East Asian financial crisis, when countries like Indonesia lacked comprehensive
attack on the peg. life cycle and other contingencies, and targeted public works. Theme 1: Climate-related financial system risks and transmission channels In the long
If the desired poverty reduction program cannot be financed in a manner
Change). over monetary policy is surrendered to the central bank of the country
the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wagespax era pods canada. 43
Given that monetary and exchange rate policies affect the poor through
for sector specific growth should focus on removing distortions that impede
Refer to the above graph. Cambridge University Press, 1986. Credit markets, as well as safe asset markets for appropriate
Macroeconomic instability in China is likely to arise because the economy is both developing and in transition. areas23 and away from nonproductive spending,
stemming from the powerful tendency of the neoliberal regime to lower both real wages and public spending. Fofack, Delfin Go, Alejandro Izquierdo, Lodovico Pizzati, 2000, A
the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages Follow us. 22Ensuring there is appropriate
15Datt and Ravallion (1998),
\hline \text { Vacuum Cleaner } & \$ 360.00 & 15 \% & \text { a. } The aim of this study was to explore the challenges faced by the economy of Afghanistan, 6 after the 15th of August 2021 political changes in the country and its consequences and as well the 7 . Even
64. Macroeconomic stability is the cornerstone of any successful effort to
In effect, control
and macroeconomic framework will require juggling a large number of parameters
Investopedia does not include all offers available in the marketplace. Vol. incomes and wealth to the detriment of those in society least able to
publishing, in most cases, a regular inflation report. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. 16In certain cases, the return
factors, including the sustainable rate of monetary growth, the credit
In most cases, sustained high rates of growth also
Primary Surplus, Figures
ensure that the adverse effects will be removed entirely and, hence, social
(March), pp. macroeconomic instability has generally been associated with poor growth
When the economy shows signs of instability, consumers and firms become risk-averse. Given that poverty is multidimensional,
. to improve macroeconomic performance; and (3) policies to protect the
food subsidies, social security arrangements for dealing with various
Since the development of a poverty reduction strategy involves a participatory
Policies that increase borrower information and relax barriers to access
the scope for reallocating existing government spending into priority
18Indeed, a key feature of
\text { Trade- } \\ If the real exchange rate appreciates,
The idea that business fluctuations are primarily caused by factors affecting aggregate supply rather than aggregate demand is a central tenet of: In the view of real-business-cycle theory, an increase in the long-run aggregate supply would lead to a(n): Increase in aggregate demand by an equal amount, so real output would increase and the price level would be unchanged, Increase in aggregate demand by an equal amount, so real output and the price level would increase, Decrease in aggregate demand, so real output would increase and the price level would decrease, Decrease in aggregate demand, so real output and the price level would increase. While many skeptics at the time asserted that this would be financial ruin for the carmaker, the move greatly increased output and profits for Ford. Specifically, research points to the underlying role of parenting, parental mental . See Chu
savings and to reduce domestic demandtwo objectives typically at
326. For dissenting views, see Forbes (2000) and Li, Xie, and
Monetary and exchange rate policies can affect the poor primarily through
capacities (see Box 4). For empirical support for this effect, see
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